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Risk & Response by Arborlook Insights

Howell County Rural Fire District #1

COMBINATION MO 2 Stations
30,912
Est. Population
188.8
Sq Miles
164
Density / Sq Mi
7
Census Tracts
Very High
NRI Risk Rating

Service Area Overview

Your department boundary, station locations, and overall NRI risk scores by census tract. Use the sections below to explore specific hazards, fire risk indicators, and EMS demand drivers across your service area.

Service area, population, and census tract assignments are based on department boundaries from NERIS Public. Boundary accuracy varies by jurisdiction.

Natural Hazard Risk

What this means for planning: With a risk score of 91.3 (Very High nationally), flooding is your leading natural hazard. Prioritize swift water rescue training, high-water vehicle rescue protocols, and coordination with emergency management on flood-prone area mapping and evacuation routes.

Top 5 Hazards in Your Service Area

Sorted by life-safety impact. Life-safety loss uses FEMA’s Value of Statistical Life ($13.7M per fatality or 10 injuries). NRI methodology

Hazard Risk Score Rating Life-Safety Loss
$/yr
Total Loss
$/yr
River Flood TOP LIFE-SAFETY HAZARD 91.3 Very High $3.8M/yr $11.9M/yr
Cold Wave 91.2 Very High $1.6M/yr $2.0M/yr
Heat Wave 93.6 Very High $1.4M/yr $1.4M/yr
Earthquake 88 Very High $1.3M/yr $3.8M/yr
Tornado 89.2 Very High $490K/yr $2.0M/yr

How to read this map: Colors show absolute national risk levels (red = Very High nationally, green = Very Low nationally). These are objective hazard comparisons across all U.S. communities.

Historical Disaster Declarations

Your county has experienced 11 FEMA disaster declarations in the last 10 years, and 21 declarations in the last 25 years.

DateTypeTitle
2025-05-21Severe StormSEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND WILDFIRES
2025-05-21Severe StormSEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING
2025-01-01Severe StormSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING
2024-07-23Severe StormSEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING
2020-07-09Severe StormSEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING

Demographics & Vulnerability

Why This Matters

Your community's demographics shape everything: from where you need smoke alarm programs to how many of your calls are EMS. The data below identifies who generates the most emergency demand, who faces the greatest barriers during emergencies, and who benefits most from targeted CRR outreach.

Age Distribution

Age drives EMS call volume (highest utilization: 65+ and especially 75+, with elevated rates also among children under 5), shapes fire safety education priorities, and determines evacuation assistance needs. The dark marker on each bar shows the national average.

Under 5
6.2% (1,929)
Ages 5-17
18.2% (5,613)
Ages 18-64
55.8% (17,240)
Ages 65-74
11.4% (3,525)
Ages 75-84
6.2% (1,921)
Ages 85+
2.2% (684)
Your Community
National Average

Social Vulnerability Indicators

These indicators identify populations that need additional support during emergencies, face barriers to self-evacuation or medical access, and benefit most from proactive CRR programming.

Vulnerability Factor Your Community Peer Average National Average vs. Peers
Disability Rate
Higher EMS utilization, evacuation assistance needs, accessible communication requirements
19.8% 16.4% 13.4% slightly higher
Poverty Rate
Economic barrier to safety resources
20.2% 12.5% 12.5% 1.6x higher
Uninsured Rate
May delay medical care, leading to emergencies
12.2% 9.7% 8.3% slightly higher
Limited English Households
Language barrier to emergency communication
0.0% 0.6% 4.3% Infx lower
No Vehicle Access
Evacuation risk; higher EMS transport dependence
5.9% 5.1% 8.7% slightly higher
No Internet Access
Disconnected from digital emergency alerts
10.7% 10.3% 6.7% ≈ average

Economic Context

Median Household Income
$53,635
Peers: $68,739 · National: $89,476
Per Capita Income
$27,422
Peers: $36,483 · National: $44,519
Median Home Value
$181,655
Peers: $218,352 · National: $402,761

Fire Risk Factors

What this means for planning: Focus fire prevention efforts on cooking safety (leading cause of home fires), heating equipment safety, electrical hazards, and smoke alarm installation programs. Target education toward renters and multi-family buildings where fire incidence is typically higher.

How to read this map: Colors show relative risk within your jurisdiction (red = highest-need tracts, green = lowest-need). Check the table below for overall levels vs. peers and national averages.

Risk Factor Your Community Peer Average National Average vs. Peers
Pre-1980 Housing
Pre-1980 construction standards
42.2% 27.4% 36.3% 1.5x higher
Wood Heating
Wood stoves and fireplaces as primary heat
11.6% 5.3% 1.4% 2.2x higher
Vacancy Rate
Vacant properties at higher fire risk
11.5% 14.5% 10.3% slightly lower
Mobile Homes
Structural fire spread risk
10.7% 11.8% 5.8% ≈ average
Renter-Occupied
Higher turnover, variable maintenance
29.0% 23.5% 34.7% slightly higher

EMS Risk Factors

EMS typically accounts for 60-80% of fire department call volume nationally. The demographics below are the strongest predictors of where that demand comes from in your service area.

What this means for planning: 19.8% of residents have a disability, slightly higher the national average. Residents with disabilities have higher EMS utilization and may require specialized evacuation assistance, accessible communication during emergencies, and coordination with social services. Consider functional needs assessments in pre-incident planning and partnerships with disability advocacy organizations.

How to read this map: Colors show relative risk within your jurisdiction (red = highest-need tracts, green = lowest-need). Check the table below for overall levels vs. peers and national averages.

Risk Factor Your Community Peer Average National Average vs. Peers
Population 65+
Highest EMS utilization group
19.8% 20.3% 17.4% ≈ average
Disability Rate
Higher EMS utilization, specialized assistance needs
19.8% 16.4% 13.4% slightly higher
No Vehicle Access
Evacuation risk; higher EMS transport dependence
5.9% 5.1% 8.7% slightly higher
Uninsured Rate
May delay care, leading to emergencies
12.2% 9.7% 8.3% slightly higher
Poverty Rate
Economic barrier to healthcare access
20.2% 12.5% 12.5% 1.6x higher

Peer Comparison

Departments similar to yours in size, type, density class, and region. Peer benchmarks contextualize your community risk profile and support “demonstrated need” narratives in grant applications.

Department State Population Risk Score 65+ % Poverty % Stations
Howell County Rural Fire District #1 (You) MO 30,912 91.4 19.8% 20.2% 2
Gravois Fire Protection District MO 17,534 93.5 22.5% 18.4% 4
Yankton Fire Protection District SD 30,817 90.5 21.6% 11.3% 4
Eagle Rock-Golden-Mano Fire Protection District MO 19,341 92.5 29.4% 16.2% 4
Fruitland Area Fire District MO 22,707 87.2 16.5% 9.4% 3

Your Community Risk Profile Is Half the Story

This page shows what your community faces. Connecting your NERIS data shows the other half: where response is slowest in your highest-risk areas, whether you're meeting NFPA benchmarks, and how your CRR investments are performing against actual demand.

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