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Risk & Response by Arborlook Insights

Berkeley Fire Department

CAREER CA 7 Stations
Vision 20/20 Part of the Discovery Data Hub · Vision 20/20 + Arborlook Insights
113,736
Est. Population
17.7
Sq Miles
6,438
Density / Sq Mi
35
Census Tracts
Very High
NRI Risk RatingiNRI Risk Rating. FEMA’s national-percentile bands on the composite Risk Score: Very Low (<20), Relatively Low (20-39), Relatively Moderate (40-59), Relatively High (60-79), Very High (80+). Composite combines all 18 hazards via Expected Annual Loss × Social Vulnerability ÷ Community Resilience.

Page generated May 2026 · Hazards: FEMA NRI v1.20 · Demographics: ACS 2024 (2020-2024 5-year) · Boundaries: NERIS Public · Disasters: OpenFEMA

Service Area Overview

Your department boundary, station locations, and overall NRI risk scores by census tract. Use the sections below to explore specific hazards, fire risk indicators, and EMS demand drivers across your service area.

Service area, population, and census tract assignments are based on department boundaries from NERIS Public. Boundary accuracy varies by jurisdiction.

Natural Hazard Risk

What this means for planning: With a risk score of 98.3 (Very High nationally), earthquake is your leading natural hazard. Prioritize heavy rescue capabilities, building collapse protocols, and mutual aid for large-scale events. Coordinate with emergency management on critical facility assessments and community seismic preparedness.

Top Hazards in Your Service Area

Algorithmic top 5 by life-safety impact, plus regionally critical hazards for CA (shown with their NRI scores as-is, no adjustment). Life-safety loss uses FEMA’s Value of Statistical Life ($13.7M per fatality or 10 injuries). NRI methodology · Source: FEMA NRI v1.20 (Mar 2023)

Hazard Risk Score Rating Life-Safety Loss
$/yr
Total Loss
$/yr
Learn more
Earthquake TOP LIFE-SAFETY HAZARD 98.3 Very High $72.1M/yr $153.5M/yr USGS Earthquake Hazards
Heat Wave 40.4 Relatively Moderate $824K/yr $824K/yr NWS heat safety
Tornado 10 Very Low $28K/yr $123K/yr NOAA SPC
Landslide 45.5 Relatively Moderate $22K/yr $31K/yr USGS Landslide Hazards
Lightning 3.4 Very Low $15K/yr $16K/yr NWS lightning safety
Wildfire 20 Relatively Low $3K/yr $45K/yr wildfirerisk.org
Coastal Flood 1.8 Very Low $1/yr $7K/yr FEMA coastal flood maps
Drought 4.2 Very Low -- $2K/yr U.S. Drought Monitor
Tsunami 2.5 Very Low -- $299K/yr NOAA Tsunami Program

How to read this map: Colors show absolute national risk levels (red = Very High nationally, green = Very Low nationally). These are objective hazard comparisons across all U.S. communities.

Historical Disaster Declarations

Your county has experienced 8 FEMA disaster declarations in the last 10 years, and 11 declarations in the last 25 years.

5 most recent declarations shown. Source: OpenFEMA, current through May 2026. If your most recent listed declaration is older than expected, that reflects no newer county-level declarations on file (not stale data).

DateTypeTitle
2023-04-03Severe StormSEVERE WINTER STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES
2023-01-14FloodSEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES
2023-01-09FloodSEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES
2020-03-22BiologicalCOVID-19 PANDEMIC
2020-03-13BiologicalCOVID-19

Demographics & Vulnerability

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year (2020-2024 vintage)

Why This Matters

Your community's demographics shape everything: from where you need smoke alarm programs to how many of your calls are EMS. The data below identifies who generates the most emergency demand, who faces the greatest barriers during emergencies, and who benefits most from targeted CRR outreach.

Age Distribution

Age drives EMS call volume (highest utilization: 65+ and especially 75+, with elevated rates also among children under 5), shapes fire safety education priorities, and determines evacuation assistance needs. The dark marker on each bar shows the national average.

Under 5
3.3% (3,709)
Ages 5-17
9.2% (10,500)
Ages 18-64
71.0% (80,697)
Ages 65-74
9.6% (10,879)
Ages 75-84
5.3% (5,989)
Ages 85+
1.7% (1,963)
Your Community
National Average

Community Profile

Who lives in your service area. Population composition shapes CRR messaging, outreach channels, and the language resources your crews may need in the field. Operational risk drivers (disability, poverty, uninsured, no vehicle) are covered in the Fire Risk and EMS Risk sections below.

Community Factor Your Community Peer AverageiPeer Average. Average across up to 4 peer departments matched on size band, department type, density class, and Census region. Used in the “vs. Peers” column throughout the page. See the methodology page for full criteria. National Average vs. Peers
Minority Population
Share of residents identifying as a race or ethnicity other than non-Hispanic White [Census]
50.5% 68.0% 41.8% 1.3x lower
Limited-English Households
Households where no adult speaks English “very well”; informs CRR materials and outreach in other languages [Census]
3.7% 8.5% 4.2% 2.3x lower
Single-Parent Households
Households with children headed by one adult; family structure associated with vulnerability in emergencies, largely via household resources [Census]
2.7% 5.2% 6.1% 1.9x lower
No High-School Diploma
Adults 25+ without a high-school credential; CDC plain-language guidance recommends short sentences and one main idea each to broaden CRR accessibility [CDC]
4.2% 13.2% 10.4% 3.1x lower
Unemployment Rate
Share of civilian labor force out of work; associated with higher stress and worse self-reported health (HHS Healthy People 2030) [HHS]
5.6% 5.9% 5.3% ≈ average
Group-Quarters Population
Residents in nursing homes, assisted living, dorms, or corrections; operational EMS detail in the EMS section below [Census]
10.8% 2.6% 2.5% 4.2x higher

Economic Context

Median Household Income
$111,361
Peers: $121,564 · National: $89,581
Below 150% Poverty
23.1%
Peers: 16.2% · National: 20.2%
Median Home Value
$1,182,289
Peers: $1,083,392 · National: $402,955

Fire Risk Factors

What this means for planning: 60.8% of housing predates 1960, 2.3x the national average. Older housing stock predates modern electrical and fire codes; coordinate with code enforcement on inspections and prioritize smoke alarm installation in pre-1960 neighborhoods.

How to read this map: Colors show relative risk within your jurisdiction (red = highest-need tracts, green = lowest-need). Check the table below for overall levels vs. peers and national averages.

Risk Factor Your Community Peer Average National Average vs. Peers
Mobile Homes
CDC/ATSDR SVI Theme 4 (Housing Type and Transportation) vulnerability variable; smaller footprint shortens egress time and limits compartmentation [CDC SVI]
0.2% 1.4% 5.8% 7.0x lower
Vacancy Rate
Intentional actions are the leading cause of vacant residential building fires (~34%); 53% spread to involve the entire structure [USFA]
11.6% 6.6% 10.3% 1.8x higher
Disability Rate
Physical disability is the second-leading human factor in U.S. residential fire fatalities; mobility-limited residents need targeted evacuation planning [USFA]
10.9% 10.0% 13.4% ≈ average
Poverty Rate
Poverty is correlated with poorer health outcomes and reduced healthcare access; a recognized social determinant of health [HHS]
17.7% 10.2% 12.5% 1.7x higher
No High-School Diploma
Adults 25+ without a high-school credential; a CDC/ATSDR SVI socioeconomic-vulnerability indicator and, empirically, one of the strongest tract-level correlates of fire incidence [CDC SVI]
4.2% 13.2% 10.4% 3.1x lower
No Internet Access
Households without home internet; an empirical proxy for rural and deprived areas that rank among the strongest tract-level fire-incidence correlates [Census]
2.9% 4.0% 6.7% 1.4x lower
Wood Heating
Wood and solid-fuel heating is a face-valid ignition source; chimney and hearth fires concentrate where wood heat is common [USFA]
0.1% 0.1% 1.4% ≈ average
Pre-1980 Housing
Built before 1980; ACS year-built data helps communities find older structures in disaster-prone areas during emergency planning [Census]
80.7% 72.9% 50.3% 1.1x higher

EMS Risk Factors

EMS typically accounts for 60-80% of fire department call volume nationally. The demographics below are the strongest predictors of where that demand comes from in your service area.

What this means for planning: 10.8% of residents live in group quarters (nursing homes, assisted living, corrections, or dormitories), 4.3x the national average. Institutional populations concentrate EMS demand at a small number of addresses and often involve complex patient histories. Pre-plan each facility, build direct notification relationships with staff, and track call volume by facility to spot capacity problems early.

How to read this map: Colors show relative risk within your jurisdiction (red = highest-need tracts, green = lowest-need). Check the table below for overall levels vs. peers and national averages.

Risk Factor Your Community Peer Average National Average vs. Peers
Population 75+
Adults 75 and older are the heaviest per-capita EMS users and carry the highest fire-death rate of any age group [USFA]
7.0% 7.1% 7.1% ≈ average
Disability Rate
Physical disability is the second-leading human factor in U.S. residential fire fatalities; mobility-limited residents need targeted evacuation planning [USFA]
10.9% 10.0% 13.4% ≈ average
No Vehicle Access
Households without a vehicle face documented transportation barriers to medical care, including missed appointments and delayed visits [Peer-reviewed]
21.2% 6.7% 8.7% 3.1x higher
Uninsured Rate
Uninsured adults are about three times more likely than continuously insured adults to have an unmet medical need due to cost (CDC NHIS) [CDC]
2.9% 6.0% 8.2% 2.1x lower
Poverty Rate
Poverty is correlated with poorer health outcomes and reduced healthcare access; a recognized social determinant of health [HHS]
17.7% 10.2% 12.5% 1.7x higher
Below 150% Poverty
Share below 150% of the federal poverty level; CDC PLACES uses this exact threshold to model chronic-disease prevalence [CDC]
23.1% 16.2% 20.2% 1.4x higher

CRR Outreach Profile

These factors shape your community risk reduction outreach approach (different prevention messaging, communication channels, and inspection cadence) without necessarily indicating elevated fire or EMS risk.

Outreach Factor Your Community Peer Average National Average vs. Peers
Wood Heating
Wood and other solid-fuel heating; outreach focus: annual chimney inspection and cleaning, hearth screens, and three-foot clearance from anything that can burn [USFA]
0.1% 0.1% 1.4% ≈ average
Kerosene / Fuel Oil Heat
Liquid-fueled and portable space heaters; outreach focus: three-foot clearance, turn off when leaving the room or going to bed, and CO and ventilation awareness [USFA]
0.2% 0.1% 4.2% 1.6x higher
Bottled / Tank LP Heat
Bottled, tank, or LP gas heating; outreach focus: tank leak checks, regulator and connector inspection, and CO alarm placement [Census]
1.0% 1.4% 5.2% 1.4x lower
Renter-Occupied
Share occupied by renters; outreach differs from owner messaging: landlord coordination on smoke alarms, tenant-focused checklists, and multilingual notices [USFA]
56.6% 49.7% 34.6% 1.1x higher
Overcrowding
More than one occupant per room (Census/HUD threshold); shapes outreach where multiple residents share sleeping space and egress paths [HUD]
3.8% 9.4% 3.4% 2.5x lower
No Internet Access
Households without home internet may miss web-based emergency alerts, telehealth, and outreach; favor radio, mailers, and door-to-door channels [Census]
2.9% 4.0% 6.7% 1.4x lower

Peer Comparison

Departments similar to yours in size, type, density class, and region. Peer benchmarks contextualize your community risk profile and support “demonstrated need” narratives in grant applications.

Department State Population Risk ScoreiComposite Risk Score. FEMA NRI’s composite index combining all 18 hazards: Expected Annual Loss × Social Vulnerability ÷ Community Resilience, population-weighted across your tracts. Individual hazards may score higher than the composite; the composite reflects total expected impact across all hazards. FEMA methodology. 65+ % Multi-Unit % Stations
Berkeley Fire Department (You) CA 113,736 90.8 16.6% 30.0% 7
City Of Burbank Fire Department CA 100,092 87.7 16.3% 31.2% 14
Pasadena Fire Department CA 131,006 87.3 17.3% 35.9% 11
Torrance Fire Department CA 133,233 82.6 18.6% 28.1% 6
Santa Monica Fire Department CA 87,170 90.7 19.5% 45.7% 8

A CRA Goes Stale Fast. Keep Yours Live.

This page is a snapshot of community risk today. Connecting your NERIS data keeps it current against your live incident feed and emerging trends: where response is slowest in your highest-risk areas, whether you're meeting NFPA benchmarks, and how your CRR investments are landing against actual demand.

This free community risk profile is part of the Discovery Data Hub, a partnership between Vision 20/20 and Arborlook Insights to keep essential risk data in the hands of the fire service.

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