Arborlook
Risk & Response
by Arborlook Insights

Bay County, FL

Community risk profile | NRI Score: 85.0 Very High

186,393
Population
12
Departments
47
Stations
50
Census Tracts

Natural Hazard Loss Profile

Expected annual loss across the 18 natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Life safety is expressed in fatality-equivalents, combining expected deaths and injuries. Property loss counts building damage only, separate from agriculture.

Natural Hazard Life Safety
1.76
expected fatality-equivalents per year, natural hazards only
18th highest of 67
Life Safety per 100k
0.95
natural hazard fatality-equivalents per 100,000 residents
10th highest of 67
Natural Hazard Property Loss
$133.7M
expected building loss per year, natural hazards only
19th highest of 67
Property Loss per Resident
$717
natural hazard building loss per resident per year
6th highest of 67

These figures cover natural hazards only. Structure fire, EMS, and motor vehicle incidents are not included in the National Risk Index and are not counted here, so this is not an all-cause life safety measure. For Bay County, the largest single contributor is Tornado, 34% of the life-safety total.

Bay County carries an expected 2 natural hazard fatality-equivalents and $133.7M in building loss per year. Rank chips compare the 67 Florida counties. Nationally, Bay County ranks 333rd of 3,222 U.S. counties for life-safety loss, 1828th for life safety per 100k residents, 156th for property loss, and 352nd for property loss per resident. Computed from census tract data covering every resident, independent of fire department boundaries.

Add fire mortality, cause, and loss

Natural hazard exposure is one half of the picture. The other half is what your departments run on: fire deaths and injuries, cause of ignition, dollar loss per incident. That comes from NERIS incident reporting, and it grows as departments serving Bay County enroll. Our Regional tier brings it together across your jurisdiction, with participating departments, alongside response time analytics, cross-department benchmarking, and coverage gap analysis.

Talk to us about Bay County See what a department sees

What Drives the Loss

85%
15%
Property (buildings): $133.7M (84.7%)
Life safety: $24.1M (15.3%)
Agriculture: $51K (0.0%)

Total expected annual loss: $157,915,650 per year. Life safety is shown here in dollars, at FEMA's $13.7M value of statistical life, so the three shares sum to the total.

Hazards Ranked Two Ways

The hazard that threatens people is often not the hazard that destroys buildings. Both columns cover the same 18 hazards over the same year.

By life-safety loss ($/yr)

Tornado
$8.2M
Hurricane
$5.4M
Cold Wave
$3.6M
Lightning
$2.9M
Heat Wave
$2.1M
Inland Flooding
$922K

By property loss ($/yr)

Hurricane
$112.3M
Inland Flooding
$15.8M
Tornado
$2.8M
Coastal Flooding
$1.6M
Strong Wind
$418K
Earthquake
$267K

Census Tract Risk Map

Shaded by quintile across the census tracts in Bay County. Gray tracts have no modeled loss or no resident population. Per-resident figures on this map use the National Risk Index 2020 tract population.

Fire Service Profile

50%
33%
17%
Career: 50% (6)
Combination: 33% (4)
Volunteer: 17% (2)
Residents per Station
3,966
census population per registered station
Stations per 100k
25.2
registered stations per 100,000 residents

Department composition covers the 12 departments registered in NERIS Public for Bay County, FL. Departments that have not registered are not counted. Station coverage divides census population by registered stations; department service areas overlap, so their populations are not summed.

Department Rankings

Fire and EMS departments serving Bay County. Click column headers to sort.

NRI Rating is from FEMA's National Risk Index, which measures community risk across 18 natural hazards using expected annual losses, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Life-Safety Loss uses FEMA's Value of Statistical Life ($13.7M per expected fatality) to estimate annual risk to human life.

Department boundaries and station counts are self-reported through NERIS Public and may not reflect current service areas. Population and Life-Safety Loss reflect each department's full jurisdiction. County-level risk metrics are computed from census tract data and are not affected by boundary accuracy. See full methodology.

Showing 12 departments
Department Est. Population Life-Safety Loss NRI Rating Stations
Bay County Department Of Emergency Services 55,250 $7.1M Very High 26
Panama City Fire Department 36,490 $4.7M Very High 6
Thomas Drive Volunteer Fire Department, Inc. 21,555 $2.7M Very High 0
Callaway Fire Department 19,865 $2.6M Very High 3
Panama City Beach Fire Department 18,522 $2.5M Very High 3
Lynn Haven Fire Rescue 18,212 $2.3M Very High 2
Springfield Fire Department 12,850 $1.6M Very High 1
Country Oaks Volunteer Fire Department 10,687 $1.4M Relatively High 1
Parker Fire Department 13,397 $1.3M Relatively High 2
Gulf County Beaches Volunteer Fire Department 6,106 $858.3K Relatively High 1
Tyndall Afb Fire & Emergency Services 1,528 $195.1K Relatively High 1
Mexico Beach Fire Rescue 1,099 $103.8K Relatively High 1
No departments match your search.

Risk Snapshot

11.9%
Poverty Rate
18.3%
Age 65+
17.4%
Disability Rate
14.4%
Uninsured
24.3%
Pre-1980 Housing
10.0%
Mobile Homes
27.3%
Vacancy Rate
0.2%
Wood Heat
$74,931
Median HH Income

FEMA Disaster Declarations

20
Last 10 Years
33
Last 25 Years
Hurricane
Most Frequent

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