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Arborlook Insights
Risk & Response

Orange County, VA

Community risk profile | NRI Score: 47.9 Relatively Moderate

37,822
Population
2
Departments
23
Stations
8
Census Tracts

Natural Hazard Loss Profile

Expected annual loss across the 18 natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Life safety is expressed in fatality-equivalents, combining expected deaths and injuries. Property loss counts building damage only, not agriculture.

Natural Hazard Life Safety
0.10
expected fatality-equivalents per year, natural hazards only
68th highest of 133
Life Safety per 100k
0.26
natural hazard fatality-equivalents per 100,000 residents
114th highest of 133
Natural Hazard Property Loss
$7.5M
expected building loss per year, natural hazards only
48th highest of 133
Property Loss per Resident
$199
natural hazard building loss per resident per year
67th highest of 133

These figures cover natural hazards only. Structure fire, EMS, and motor vehicle incidents are not in the National Risk Index, so this is not an all-cause life safety measure. For Orange County, the largest single contributor is Strong Wind, 27% of the life-safety total.

Orange County carries an expected under 1 natural hazard fatality-equivalents and $7.5M in building loss per year. Rank chips compare the 133 Virginia counties. Nationally, Orange County ranks 2644th of 3,222 U.S. counties for life-safety loss, 3077th for life safety per 100k residents, 1818th for property loss, and 2769th for property loss per resident. Computed from census tract data covering every resident, independent of fire department boundaries.

Add fire mortality, cause, and loss

Natural hazard exposure is only part of the risk. Fire deaths and injuries, cause of ignition, and dollar loss per incident come from NERIS incident reporting, which grows as departments serving Orange County enroll. Our Regional tier adds that data for the departments your jurisdiction sponsors, next to public risk and NERIS adoption for every department in Orange County.

Talk to us about Orange County See what a department sees

Loss Breakdown

68%
12%
20%
Property (buildings): $7.5M (67.7%)
Life safety: $1.3M (11.9%)
Agriculture: $2.3M (20.4%)

Total expected annual loss: $11,126,505 per year. Life safety is shown here in dollars, at FEMA's $13.7M value of statistical life, so the three shares sum to the total.

Agriculture is 20% of expected annual loss in Orange County, so total loss overstates property loss here. The property figure above counts building loss only.

Hazards Ranked Two Ways

The hazard that threatens people is often not the hazard that destroys buildings. Both columns cover the same 18 hazards over the same year.

By life-safety loss ($/yr)

Strong Wind
$356K
Heat Wave
$337K
Lightning
$200K
Earthquake
$133K
Tornado
$128K
Hail
$66K

By property loss ($/yr)

Inland Flooding
$5.1M
Hurricane
$1.2M
Earthquake
$528K
Tornado
$351K
Strong Wind
$147K
Hail
$130K

Census Tract Risk Map

Shaded by quintile across the census tracts in Orange County. Gray tracts have no modeled loss or no resident population. Per-resident figures on this map use the National Risk Index 2020 tract population.

Fire Service Profile

50%
50%
Combination: 50% (1)
Unreported: 50% (1)
Residents per Station
1,644
census population per registered station
Stations per 100k
60.8
registered stations per 100,000 residents

Department composition covers the 2 departments registered in NERIS Public for Orange County, VA. Departments that have not registered are not counted. Station coverage divides census population by registered stations; department service areas overlap, so their populations are not summed.

Department Rankings

Fire and EMS departments serving Orange County. Click column headers to sort.

NRI Rating is from FEMA's National Risk Index, which measures community risk across 18 natural hazards using expected annual losses, social vulnerability, and community resilience. Life-Safety Loss uses FEMA's Value of Statistical Life ($13.7M per expected fatality) to estimate annual risk to human life.

Department boundaries and station counts are self-reported through NERIS Public and may not reflect current service areas. Population and Life-Safety Loss reflect each department's full jurisdiction. County-level risk metrics are computed from census tract data and are not affected by boundary accuracy. See full methodology.

Showing 2 departments
Department ▲ Est. Population ▲ Life-Safety Loss ▼ NRI Rating ▲ Stations ▲
Spotsylvania County Department Of Fire Rescue & Emergency Management 148,719 $4.9M Relatively Low 17
Orange County Department of Fire & EMS 10,197 $390.7K Relatively High 6
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Risk Snapshot

9.8%
Poverty Rate
20.4%
Age 65+
14.9%
Disability Rate
6.0%
Uninsured
33.1%
Pre-1980 Housing
3.7%
Mobile Homes
7.9%
Vacancy Rate
3.3%
Wood Heat
$93,647
Median HH Income

FEMA Disaster Declarations

5
Last 10 Years
13
Last 25 Years
Severe Storm
Most Frequent

Every department in your region, on one briefing

Our Regional tier gives state fire marshals and county fire authorities one briefing across every department in the jurisdiction: priority tracts ranked by risk and demand, NERIS adoption by county, and a quarterly report with a page per department. Response times appear for the departments you sponsor. Free 90-day pilot.

Explore the Regional Tier See the Response Demo